It's sadly both simple and hypercomplex. The facts are of two categories. Fossil evidence and man recorded. Even the fossils are arguably subject to dubious interpetration which traditonally was addressed by wide scale peer review. Independent peers with honesty kept by double blinded sample pedigrees etc. Same with human recorded data. Ben Franklin's correspondances had the ability to see letters from adjacent areas and compare for anomalies that were "frozen" on inked paper. And published in the almanac history.
So? one vat of koolaide is tagged we're gonna roast unless we "DO BIG THINGS" One's tagged we're gonna roast and nothing's going to change that. Then we've a few smaller koolers- one branded we're gonna freeze and it's independent of man. Another saying the same except because of man's actions the freeze is going to dwarf the Fimbulwinter of myth. And then, there's the group most attractive to me.
A group saying calmly but with a tone of time awareness- "we better find out what the reality is and act according to that" The tragic fact overlooked? It's that we're betting our species entire upon who's right. And that last one could potentially be settled or not merely by applying the propaganda budgets of ALL viewpoints for a few months. That snow on your windows is exhibit A that our modelling is clearly needing some sanity checking.
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That's the "butterfly effect" on a macro scale.
Date: 2009-12-09 01:31 am (UTC)So? one vat of koolaide is tagged we're gonna roast unless we "DO BIG THINGS" One's tagged we're gonna roast and nothing's going to change that. Then we've a few smaller koolers- one branded we're gonna freeze and it's independent of man. Another saying the same except because of man's actions the freeze is going to dwarf the Fimbulwinter of myth. And then, there's the group most attractive to me.
A group saying calmly but with a tone of time awareness- "we better find out what the reality is and act according to that" The tragic fact overlooked? It's that we're betting our species entire upon who's right. And that last one could potentially be settled or not merely by applying the propaganda budgets of ALL viewpoints for a few months. That snow on your windows is exhibit A that our modelling is clearly needing some sanity checking.